North India Statesman
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India-Pakistan war warning: The tension between India and Pakistan has reached a new level, meanwhile, a 1993 secret report of the US intelligence agency CIA has come out. The report indicates a war between India and Pakistan, especially on the Kashmir issue. The National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) document prepared by Bruce Reidel said that Pakistan is a permanent threat to India.
Significantly, a few days ago, 26 people lost their lives in a terrorist attack in Pahalgam, a peaceful tourist destination in Jammu and Kashmir. Lashkar-e-Taiba’s mask organization The Resistance Front (TRF) has taken responsibility for this attack. This development has once again outlined the seriousness of the CIA’s 32 -year -old warning.
In CIA’s words ‘Pakistan is afraid of India’
The NIE report prepared in 1993 clearly states that “Pakistan is afraid of India’s progress in every region”. This danger is not only military, but also in the context of economic, political and social stability. Pakistan has adopted a policy of fighting a pseudo war through terrorism instead of fighting a direct war with India. The report also states that Pakistan uses Islam not as religious faith, but as a weapon. In this way, Pakistan promotes terrorism with a mentality of achieving more impact on low cost.
Pahalgam attack, real example of CIA warning
The Pahalgam attack has confirmed the CIA prediction. TRF is an organization supported by Lashkar-e-Taiba, which works with the active support of Pakistan’s ISI and Army. The report predicted that such an attack may lead to a direct struggle between India and Pakistan.
Even today, the situation of Pakistan is the same as then.
In 1993, Pakistan was facing political instability, economic crisis and military intervention. Even today the situation is not very different. Pakistan is being called a failed state due to economic bankruptcy, political upheaval and international separation. On the other hand, India’s progress began under the leadership of Prime Minister Narasimha Rao and Finance Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh. Even today India is emerging as a global superpower, while Pakistan is behind.
America’s role and unsuccessful attempt
The aim of the 1993 NIE report was to alert the White House, Foreign Department and other policy makers. The CIA gave several warnings about Pakistan’s policy, but Pakistan continued to get exemption on the international stage. The US proposed a hotline mechanism, a nuclear agreement and trust-making measures. However, these measures proved inadequate during the crisis. Even today, events like Pahalgam clearly show that this solution is failing.
CIA warning is still fresh today
The CIA’s 32 -year -old report accurately highlights the increasing incidents of terrorism in India. The report highlights the root cause of the Kashmir issue, a source of tension between India and Pakistan, and also highlighted the dangerous consequences of Pakistan’s secret war strategy. What is happening today is not only sudden or unexpected – this is a crisis that was being warned for decades. India needs to answer this type of secret war in a more effective and strategic manner.
