North India Statesman
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News India Live, Digital Desk: There is a very famous saying about politics, “Here there is neither a firm friend nor a firm enemy, only ‘time’ and ‘power’ decide everything.” Nowadays, something similar is being felt in the winds of Jharkhand also. After the political turmoil in Bihar, now there is discussion in the corridors of Ranchi that Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) And BJP Something is ‘cooking’ between.
If you are interested in the politics of Jharkhand, then the rumors spread in the last few hours must have surprised you. What Hemant Soren Can you really leave Congress and RJD and join BJP (NDA)? And if this happens, will the government be able to be formed?
Let us, without any further ado, understand in simple language what the ‘numbers game’ of the Assembly says if these two parties join hands.
Where did the spark come from?
The fact is that there is some resentment in the JMM camp regarding the India Alliance. The Soren family has been hurt by JMM not getting a single seat in the Bihar Assembly elections. Recently, rumors of Chief Minister Hemant Soren and his wife Kalpana Soren’s sudden visit to Delhi and meeting Amit Shah there have fueled this discussion.
Although JMM has officially said “Jharkhand will not bow down”, but in politics ‘yes’ means ‘no’ and ‘no’ also means ‘yes’!
‘Magic’ figure to form government
Total in Jharkhand Assembly 81 seats Are. That is, for any party or coalition to form the government, at least 41 Or 42 Support of MLAs is required (majority figure).
At present, there is a joint government of JMM, Congress, RJD and Left parties in the state, which has a strength of around 47. But if JMM gets his way, the new mathematics will be very interesting.
JMM + BJP = superhit majority?
Now take pen and paper and add this equation:
- Near JMM: Around 30 to 34 MLAs (if we consider the old and new figures as an average, then JMM has confirmed 30 seats on its own).
- BJP has: Around 25 to 26 seats (BJP’s clan has increased after the arrival of Babulal Marandi and others).
- AJSU (NDA affiliate): 3-4 seats.
Now imagine, if JMM(30) And BJP (25) come together, it adds up 55 Goes beyond!
Just need to form government 41and as soon as these two meet the data 50+ Will be done. That means this ‘new alliance’ will not need Congress (16 seats) or RJD (1 seat). This can become a very strong and stable government.
Alarm bells for Congress?
If these “speculations” turn out to be true, the biggest blow will be to Congress. At present Congress is in the government and also has ministerial posts. But if Hemant Soren changes sides, Congress will be seen sitting in the opposition. This is why Congress leaders are repeatedly giving statements that “everything is fine, the alliance is strong.” But the nervousness on their faces tells a different story.
Will it really be ‘played’?
Look, in the politics of Jharkhand ‘Operation Lotus’ The discussion is not new. Champai Soren has already joined BJP, due to which the pressure on JMM has increased. Now it depends on Hemant Soren how he balances the pressure from ED and central agencies, and his political future.
There is only one question in the mind of the public, are we going to see a new chapter in Jharkhand? The mathematics of seats is saying ‘yes’, all that is needed is consent! We are keeping an eye, as soon as something happens, we will be the first to let you know.
