Trouble stuck on 5th seat of Bihar, Owaisi gave the mantra of Wait and Watch to the MLAs:

News India Live, Digital Desk: The political equations have become interesting before the voting for 5 Rajya Sabha seats in Bihar on 16 March 2026. While NDA is looking strong on its four seats, the real fight has started for the fifth seat. meanwhile, Asaduddin Owaisi AIMIM’s ‘wait and watch’ bet is increasing the suspense regarding the next move of AIMIM, which is in the role of kingmaker.

Mathematics of 5th seat: Who needs how many votes?

To win a Rajya Sabha seat, based on the current strength of Bihar Assembly 41 first preference votes Requires:

NDA status: NDA has a total of 202 MLAs. After winning four seats he 38 extra votes Will be saved. He is only for the fifth seat. 3 more votes is sought.

Challenge of Grand Alliance: The opposition, including RJD (25), Congress (6) and Left parties (4), has only 35 MLAs Are. RJD candidate Eddie Singh (Amarendra Dhari Singh) to win 6 extra votes Is required.

Ball in Owaisi and Mayawati’s court

The opposition’s hopes now rest entirely on small parties and independents:

AIMIM (5 MLAs): Owaisi’s 5 MLAs can prove to be the biggest ‘turning point’ in this election.

BSP (1 MLA): Even one vote from Mayawati’s party can decide the difference between victory and defeat. If all these 6 MLAs go to the opposition side, then the victory of the Grand Alliance can be ensured. However, AIMIM had earlier hinted at fielding its own candidate, which has further complicated the matter.

Owaisi’s ‘condition’ and Tejashwi’s tension

According to sources, Owaisi is in no mood to extend support without any concrete agreement. There is talk that AIMIM wants a long-term alliance with RJD for the upcoming elections till 2030. On the other hand, the state president of the party on Monday Akhtarul Imam met Owaisi in Delhi, after which ‘watch and wait’ instructions were issued.

NDA’s strategy and fear of ‘cross voting’

NDA has laid heavy siege for this election. among NDA candidates Nitish Kumar, Nitin Naveen, Ramnath Thakur, Shivesh Ram and Upendra Kushwaha Are included. BJP has also appointed central observers for Bihar. There is talk that NDA is eyeing disgruntled opposition MLAs, due to which the risk of ‘cross voting’ has increased.